June 23, 2005 Thursday
Checking in Hotel, Hilton Chongqing
7:00 – 10:00pm Pre-Conference Event
Co-Presiding: James Wen, Professor, Trinity College
Dianqin Xu, Professor, University of Western Ontario
Roundtable Panel - 20th Anniversary Reunion by the Former CES Presidents (16 CES presidents confirmed to come)
June 24, 2005 Friday
8:30 – 9:40am Plenary Session – Opening Ceremony
Presiding: Zongyi ZHANG, Vice President, Chongqing University
Opening/Welcome Remarks
王鸿举Hongju WANG, Mayer of Chongqing City
刘国恩Gordon LIU, CES President, Peking University and UNC Chapel Hill
李晓红Xiaohong LI, President of Chongqing University
刘诗白Shibai LIU, Honorary President, Southwestern Univ. of Finance & Economics
马颂德Songde MA, Deputy Minister of Science and Technology
陈啸宏Xiaohong CHENG, Vice Minister of Health
Minister of Education (invited)
Commissioner, the State Environment Administration (invited)
Other VIP representatives
9:40 – 10:00am Break
10:00 – 12:00pm Plenary Session
Presiding: Gordon LIU, CES President, Peking Univ. and UNC Chapel Hill
Keynote Speakers:
Robert FOGEL, Nobel Laureate, Professor of Economics from Chicago
Qifan HUANG, Deputy Mayor, Chongqing Municipal Government
William HSIAO, K T Lee Professor of Economics, Harvard University
12:00 – 1:30pm Lunch Break
1:30 – 3:30pm Concurrent Sessions (8 sessions)
SESSION 1: Development Strategy and Economic Growth
CHAIR: Justin Yifu LIN, Professor and Director, CCER at Peking University
Appropriate Technology,Technology Selection,and Economic Growth in Developing Countries , Justin Yifu Lin and Pengfei Zhang, Peking University
Redefining State Embeddedness for the Global Economy: The Rise of China’s Silicon Valley, Elena Obukhova, University of Chicago
Ideology and Government Intervention, Qi Zhang, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; and Mingxing Liu, Peking University
Demographic Changes in China and its Effects on Labor Force Policies and Long-term Economic Growth, Yang Du, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
SESSION 2: Educational Attainment and Labor Force Participation
CHAIR: Margaret MAURER-FAZIO, Professor, Bates College
School Attainment and Cost of Education in Rural China, Linxiu Zhang, Chunhui Y1, Center for Chinese
Agricultural Policy; Chengfang Liu, and Scott Rozelle, University of California at Davis
Changes in the Pattern of China’s School Enrollment Rates between 1990 and 2000, Rachel Connelly, Bowdoin College
Estimating Female Labour Participation and Supply in Rural China: A Case Study of Liaoning Province, Qingjie Xia, Peking University; and Colin SIMMONS, University of Salford
Economic Reforms, Gender, and Changing Patterns of Labor Force Participation in Urban and Rural China, Margaret Maurer-Fazio, James W. Hughes, Bates College, Dandan Zhang, Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
SESSION 3: Population, Health, and Economic Growth
CHAIR: William HSIAO, KT Lee Professor of Economics, Harvard University
Health’s Contribution to Economic Growth in an Environment of Partially Endogenous Technical Progress, Dean T. Jamison, UCLA and NIH, Lawrence J. Lau, Stanford University; and Jia Wang, UCLA.
Endogenous Health Care and Life Expectancy in a Neoclassical Growth Model, Michael C. M. Leung, Chinese University of Hong Kong; and Yong Wang, City University of Hong Kong
Social Security, Aging, and Endogenous Retirement, Dan Lu and Liutang Gong, Peking University
Demographic Transition in China and its Economic Growth: 1978-1999, Anqing Shi, The World Bank
Population, Human Capital and Growth, Michael Ka-yiu Fung, Chinese University of Hong Kong; Jinni Zeng, National University of Singapore; and Lijing Zhu, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
SESSION 4: Income Distribution and Inequality
CHAIR: Yi ZENG, Professor, Duke University and Peking University
China’s Pattern of Growth: Sustainability and Implications for Employment, Louis Kuijs, the World Bank; and Tao Wang, Renmin University
Income Distribution and Labour Movement in China after WTO Membership – A CGE Analysis, Jiao Wang, London South Bank University; David Mayes, Bank of Finland; and Guanghua WAN, UNU-WIDER
Distribution of Income, Poverty and Economic Inequality in China, Yang Zhang, East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore
Impact of Growing Income Inequality on Sustainable Development in China-A Provincial-level Analysis, Nico Heerink, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Beijing Office; and Ma Jia, International Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (ICARD)
Sources of China’s Income Inequality: Empirical Analysis and Policy Options, Gene H Chang, University of Toledo
SESSION 5: Corporate Governance and Financial Market
CHAIR: Changwei ZHAO, Vice President, Sichuan University
Banking Efficiency in Chongqing: An Empirical Investigation, Zongyi Zhang and Jun Wu, Chongqing University
Ownership, Cash flow, and Investment, Chen Li and Yi Zhang Peking University
Can Regulation and Supervision Promote A Stable Development of Banking Sectors: A Cross-country Empirical Analysis, Kunrong Shen and Li Li, Nanjing University
Financial Innovation, Self-Regulation, and the Chinese Banking Sector, Bin Chen and Yongjian Pu, Chongqing University
The Empirical Study of the Market Reaction and Timing of Seasoned Equity Offerings in China: A Share Market, Xing Liu and Yu Xue, Chongqing University
SESSION 6: FDI and Trade Policies for Economic Development
CHAIR: Cheryl XU, Director, PhRMA Representative
FDI Technology Spillovers Within and Across Industries: Evidence from China, Xiaowen Tian, Nottingham University; and Shuanglin Lin, University of Nebraska at Omaha,
Global Outsourcing and Its Impacts on Human Capital at Home and Host Countries, Jason Yin, Seton Hall University
Do Domestic Industry Benefit from Foreign Knowledge Inflow? Evidence from industrial firms in China, Sarah Yueting Tong, National University of Singapore
Does “Openness” Promote “Reform”, Jian Su, Peking University
SESSION 7: Health, Village Governance, and Welfare in Rural China
CHAIR: Li GAN, Professor, Tsinghua University and University of Texas at Austin
Impacts of Health Shocks on Farm Households’ Investment in Child Education, Ang Sun and Yang Yao Peking University
The private and social mechanisms for consumption insurance, Li Gan, University of Texas at Austin and Tsinghua University; Lixin Xu, The World Bank; and Yang Yao, Peking University
Understanding Sex Ratio Imbalance in China: Evidence from County Level Data, Ye Chen, Peking University
The gap between the need and utilization of health services for the rural population in China, Xiaoying Zheng, Peking University
SESSION 8: Technology and Human Capital in Sustainable Growth
CHAIR: Yanling WANG, Associate Professor, Carleton University
The Impact on Productivity of Technology Diffusion through Trade and FDI in Asia: Implications for China, Yanling Wang, Carleton University, Canada
Processing Trade and Regional Income Inequality in China, Songhua Lin, Denison University
Technology Choice of Firms in China, Bin Xu, CEIBS, China and University of Florida
Determinants of Export Performance of FIEs in Guangdong, China, Minquan Liu, Hopkins-Nanjing Center; Yin Jing, Nanjing University; and Luodan Xu, Zhongshan University
3:50 – 5:50pm Concurrent Sessions (8 sessions)
SESSION 9: Education and Returns
CHAIR: Gregory CHOW, Professor, Princeton University
Cultural Revolution and Returns to Schooling in China: Estimates Based on Twins, Linda Yung, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
The Educational Consequences of Migration for Children in China, Yiu Por Chen, DePaul University; and Zai Liang, State University of New York
Demand for Education in China, Gregory C Chow, Princeton University; and Yan Shen, Peking University
A Wage Differential Analysis for Workers in China, Xiaoqi Guo, Ohio State University; and James K. Hammitt, Harvard School of Public Health
SESSION 10: Natural Resources and Economic Development
CHAIR: Fang CAI, Professor and Director, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
The Migration Differentials in Education in Rural China, Anqing Shi, Development Research Department, The World Bank , Shuming Bao, University of Michigan
Will the Develop-the-West strategy Improve Economic Growth? Fan Dong, Beijing Normal University, Lixin Lin, Liaoning University; and Yu Zhou, China Youth Univ. for Political Sciences
China’s Sloping Land Conversion Program: Does Expansion Equal Success, Michael T. Bennett, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Jintao Xu, Zhigang Xu, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences; and Ran Tao, The Institute for Chinese Studies, University of Oxford.
Grain Policy: Rethinking an Old Issue for China, Jack W. Hou and Xuemei Liu, California State University at Long Beach
SESSION 11: Regional Development and Disparity
CHAIR: Shunfeng SONG, Professor and Chair, University of Nevada at Reno
A Flexible Mathematical Programming Model to Estimate Interregional Input-output Account, Zhi Wang, US Department of Commerce; and Patrick Canning, US Department of Agriculture
Geographic Influence on Regional Development in China, Mo Ji, Columbia University
A Multiregional Model of China and Its Application, Qingyang Gu, Nanyang Technological University; and Kang Chen, Nanyang Technological University
Sectoral Inequality-A Significant Contributor to Inter-provincial GDP Inequality in China, Kashinath Sahoo, Tsinghua University
Measuring the Performance of Chinese Regional Innovation System with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Ying He and Jiancheng Guan, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
SESSION 12: Financing Health Care in China
CHAIR: Phil BROWN, Associate Professor, Colby College
The Consumption of Medical Care in Rural China, Feng Jin, Fudan University; and Qin Bei, Fudan University
China’s New Cooperative Medical System: Variation and Prospects, Philip H. Brown, Colby College; and Alan de Brauw, Williams College
Analysis on Medical Care Expense in China: A Hospital Case Study, Shaomin Huang, Lewis-Clark State College; Ling Li, Peking University; and Kaixin Zheng, Peking University
The Effect on Equity of Chinese Medical Savings Account, Weiwei Xu, Peking University; and Gordon G Liu, Peking University and UNC Chapel Hill
A Theoretical Analysis for Chinese New Rural Cooperative Medical System, Holly Wang, Washington State University
SESSION 13: Village, Development and Welfare
CHAIR: Xiaobo ZHANG, Senior Fellow, IFPRI
The Dynamics of Inequality within a Village: the Role of Human Capital and Entrepreneurship, Zuhui Huang and Min Wan, Zhejiang University
Inequality in Rural Villages, Shenggen Fan, IFPRI; Xiaopeng Luo, Guizhou University; Li Xing, China Academy of Agricultural Sciences; and Xiaobo Zhang, IFPRI
Decision of Hired Labor Demand and Off-farm Labor Supply: Evidence from Chinese Agricultural Households, Xiaobing Wang, University of Kiel
Chinese Farm Household Crop Production Technical Efficiency and Off-farm Labor Supply: A Stochastic Frontier Approach, Tao Zeng, North Carolina State University; and Barry K. Goodwin, North Carolina State University
SESSION 14: Economic Development and Environment
CHAIR: Xiaodong ZHU, Professor, University of Toronto, Canada
The Monetary Compensation Mechanism to Induce Developing Countries to Participate in Global Warming Fight, Xuemei Liu, California State University - Long Beach
The Hidden Benefits of Cooling the Global Greenhouse in China, Jing Cao, Harvard University
The Role of Market Incentive Policy Instruments in China's Environmental Policy: The Case of ISO 14001, Sangbum Shin, Korea University
Energy Demand and Economic Growth in China, Yingfeng Xu, University of Alberta Edmonton
China’s Oil Security, Strategy, and the Triangular Interfaces in Canada’s Oil Reserve and Trading, Kangwu Xi, Carleton University / University of Ottawa
SESSION 15: Returns to Human Capital and Labor Market Reforms
CHAIR: Zhiqiang LIU, Associate Professor, State University of New York at Buffalo
Productivity, Human Capital, and Provincial Inequality in China, Belton M. Fleisher, Ohio State University; Haizheng Li, Georgia Institute of Technology; and Minqiang Zhao, Ohio State University
Understanding Low Returns to Education under Central Planning and during Transition, Dennis Tao Yang, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
The External Returns to Education in China, Zhiqiang Liu, State University of New York
Sorting, Selection, and Transformation of Return to College Education in China, Xiaojun Wang, University of Hawaii; Belton M. Fleisher, Ohio State University; Haizheng Li, Georgia Institute of Technology; and Shi Li, Chinese Academy of Social Science
6:00 – 10:00pm Dinner and Cruise Tour Night
Gregory Chow Best Paper Award Ceremony
June 25, 2005 Saturday
8:30 – 10:00am 圆桌会议Roundtable Panels (3 Panels)
Panel I (Sponsored by WHO)
Health, Poverty and Economic Development
Chair: Dr. Henk BEKEDAM, Chief Representative, WHO China Office
Panelists
丁宁宁 Ningning DING, 国务院发展研究中心, DRC
Dr. Sen GONG, 国务院发展研究中心, DRC
葛延丰 Yanfeng GE, 国务院发展研究中心, DRC
Dr. Hana Brixi, 世界卫生组织, WHO
刘新明 Xinmin LIU, 中国卫生部, Ministry of Health
Panel II
Economic Growth and Environment Issues: Challenges and Strategies
Chair: Hua WANG, Senior Economist, World Bank
Panelist
马忠 Zhong MA,人民大学环境学院常务副院长, Deputy Dean, Renming University School of Environment
王金南Jingnan WANG, 中国环境规划院总工程师, Chief Engineer, Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning
夏光Guang XIA, 国家环境保护总局环境与经济政策研究中心, Director,Environment and Economic Policy Research Center, SEPA)
Dr. Qi, Tshinghua University
Panel III
Public Finance and Sustainable Economic Growth
Chair: Dr. Shuangling LIN, Lindley Professor of Economics, University of Nebraska
Panelists
贾康Kang JIA, 中国财政部财政科学研究所所长, Ministry of Finance
李俊生 Junsheng LI, 中央财经大学副校长
王保安Baoan WANG, 中国财政部综合司司长, Ministry of Finance
高路易Aloysius Louis G. Kuijs, 世界银行中国代表处高级经济学家, Senior Economist, World Bank China Office
陈文玲Wenling CHEN, 国务院研究室综合司司长, Division Director, The State Council Research Department
10:00 – 10:20am Break
10:30 – 12:00pm Plenary Session
Presiding: Dean Jamison, Professor, UCLA and NIH
Keynote Speakers:
Michael Grossman, Distinguished Professor of Economics, City University of New York and Director of Health Economics, NBER
Justin Yifu Lin, Professor and Director, China Center for Economics Research, Peking University
12:00 – 1:20pm Lunch Break
1:30 – 3:30pm Concurrent Sessions (8 sessions)
SESSION 16: Innovation, Competition, and Economic Growth
CHAIR: Keith MASKUS, Professor and Chair, University of Colorado at Bolder
Education, Innovation, and Economic Growth, Xiaoguang Chen, Peking University
Human Capital, Economic Growth and Globalization, Yinggang Zhou, Cornell University
Price Competition in the Chinese Pharmaceutical Market, Y. Richard Wang, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals and University of Pennsylvania
An Assessment of China's Competitiveness, Jian-guang Shen, The European Central Bank
Behavioral Economics – To Reconcile Economics and Sustainable Development Xianghong Wang, SAS Institute Inc
SESSION 17: Gender and Human Capital in Chinese Urban Labor Market
CHAIR: Aimin CHEN, Vice President and Professor, Sichuan University and Indiana State University
Married Women’s Labor Force Participation and Household Income Distribution: Evidence from Urban China, Ding Sai, Chinese Academy of Social Science
Economic Returns to Labor Market Experience during the transition period in Urban China, Xiaohua Li, Zhejiang University
Women’s Employment and Industrial Restructuring in Urban China, Jianchun Yang, China’s National Bureau of Statistics
Gender Disparities in Unemployment Duration in Urban China, Feng-lian Du, Peking University and Inner Mongolia University; and Xiao-yuan Dong, University of Winnipeg
Commentaries by Sarah Cook, The Ford Foundation; Minggao Shen, Peking University
SESSION 18 Social Economic Status, Environments, and Health
CHAIR: Anderson JOHNSON, Professor, University of Southern California
Overview of the China Seven Cities Study, C. Anderson Johnson, , University of Southern California
Socioeconomic Status and Health Behaviors among Chinese Adolescents, Chih-Ping Chou, University of Southern California
The Effects of Urban Hukou Status on Health Behavior and Health Status, Paula Palmer, University of Southern California
The Effects of Relative Deprivation and Psychopathological Factors, Ping Sun, University of Southern California
Child Height and Family Background: A China Case, Hongchun Zhao, Peking University
SESSION 19 Institutions and Economics Development
CHAIR: Xing LIU, Dean of Business School, Chongqing University
Divergent Interests between Central and Local Governments: Testing Theories of Public Ownership,Chong-En Bai, University of Hong Kong and Tsinghua University; Jiangyong Lu, University of Hong Kong; and Zhigang Tao1, University of Hong Kong
Political Economy of Local Market Development and Business Environment in Rural China, Qi Zhang, Renmin University
The Quantitative Analysis on Contribution of Institution and Management Innovation to Economic Growth-Example from Chongqing, Jijun Kang, Chongqing University
Policy Burden, Soft Budget Constraint and Discounts on Assets in China’s SOE Reform: Evidence from Enterprise Survey, Lixing Li, University of Maryland
The effect of ownership, infrastructure and deregulation on China's total factor productivity, Chunrong Ai, University of Florida
SESSION 20: Health and Determinants in China
CHAIR: Michael GROSSMAN, Professor, CUNY and NBER
Ill Health and Its Potential Influence on Household Consumptions in Rural China, Hong Wang, Yale University; and William Hsiao, Harvard University School of Public Health
Self-Reported Health Status in Urban China, Zhong Zhao, Peking University and IZA, Germany
"A Decade's Story of Childhood Malnutrition Inequality in China: Where You Live Does Matter, Zhuo Chen, David B. Eastwood, and Steven T. Yen, The University of Tennessee
Immunization uptake in China, Ake Blomqvist and Haoming Liu, National University of Singapore
Social Capital and Self-reported Health in Rural China, Hongmei Wang, Yale University
SESSION 21: Economic Growth and Environment
CHAIR: Angang HU, Professor, Tsinghua University
Efficiencies, Wage Rates, and Environmental Performances of Industrial Firms in Tianjin Municipality, Zili Yang and Quan Zhou, University of New York at Binghamton
Environment and Economic Growth: Is There an Environmental Kuznets Curve In China? Lirong Liu, University of Tennessee-Knoxville
Study on Validation of Kuznet?s Curve about Environment and Economic Growth, and Its reason Analysis in Shannxi Province, Tong Yang, Xian Jiaotong University
The Impact of Environmental Policy on Household Income and Activity Choice: Evidence from the North China Sandstorm Source Control Program, Wei Zhang, Michigan State University
Pollution Haven Hypothesis and Environmental Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment: The Case of Industrial Emission of Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) in Chinese Provinces, Jie He, CERDI, Universite d' Auvergne
SESSION 22: International Experience on Health and Health Care
CHAIR: Xuejin ZUO, Professor and Vice President, Shanghai Academy of Social Science
Demand for HIV Testing in Heterosexual Adults in the US, Guijing Wang, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA
Fast Food Restaurant Advertising on Television and Its Influence on Childhood Obesity, Shin-Yi Chou, Lehigh University
The Impact of Conditional Cash Transfer Program on Adult Obesity: Evidence from Oportunidades in Mexico, Lia Fernald, Paul Gertler, and Xiaohui Hou, University of California at Berkeley
Estimating the VA Total Health Care Cost Using a Semi-parametric Heteroscedastic Two-part Model, Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University of Washington
Two Chinese Sessions will be continued
3:30 – 3:50pm Break
4:00 – 6:00pm Concurrent Sessions
8 Chinese Sessions Continued
6:00 – 9:00pm Banquet and Plenary Session
Presiding: Gordon Liu, CES President, Peking Univ. and UNC Chapel Hill
Welcome Remark
Dr. Sarah Cook, Ford Foundation Representative
Keynote Speech
Jeff Sachs, Professor of Economics and Director of Earth Institute, Columbia University
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June 26, 2005 Sunday
8:30 – 10:30am 圆桌会议Roundtable Panels (2 Panels)
Panel IV (Sponsored by PhRMA)
Innovation and IPR Protection for Sustainable Economic Growth
Chair: Gordon LIU, CES President and Professor, Peking University and UNC
Keith Maskus, Professor and Chair of Economics, Univ. of Colorado
Michael Ryan, Associate Professor, Georgetown University
张向晨Xiangcheng ZHANG, 中国商务部WTO司司长, Director General, WTO Affairs Department, Ministry of Commerce
张清奎Qingkui ZHANG, 中国国家知识产权局专利局生物化学发明审查部部长, Director General, Bio-Chemical Invention Examination Dept., Paten Office of China State Intellectual Property Office
黄辉Hui HUANG, 中国社会科学院研究员, Senior Scientist, China Social Science Institute
Panel V
Human Capital, Population Security and Sustainable Development of Economics
Chair: 曾毅Yi ZENG, Professor, Duke University and Peking University
Panelists
胡鞍钢Angang HU, Professor, Tsinghua University;
蔡昉Fang CAI, Professor, China Academy of Social Science;
左学金Xuejin ZUO, Professor, Institute of Population Research, Academy of Social Science, Shanghai
王蓉Rong WANG, Associate Professor, School of Education, Peking University;
王德文Dewen WANG, Associate Professor, China Academy of Social Science
段成荣Chengrong DUAN, Professor, Institute of Population Research, Remin University
10:00 – 10:20am Break
10:30 – 12:30pm Closing Plenary Session
Presiding: Zongyi ZHANG, Vice President, Chongqing University
Keynote Speakers:
Daniel Hamermesh, Centennial Professor of Economics, University of Texas at Austin
Weiying ZHANG, Professor and Executive Dean, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University
Closing Remarks
Xiaohong LI, President, Chongqing University
Xiaobo ZHANG, CES President-elect, IFPRI
Gordon LIU, CES President, Peking University and UNC Chapel Hill
12:40 – 2:30pm Farewell Luncheon[1]
· Chinese Podium Presentations (about 60 papers) will be incorporated
· In addition to the keynote speeches, panel sessions, and podium presentations, poster presentations (about 100 papers) will be made on the poster boards on June 25-26 throughout the Conference.